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Disease and downgrades

Moody’s finally dropped the sword on South Africa on Friday evening, following in the steps of fellow ratings agencies S&P and Fitch in downgrading the country’s sovereign credit rating to sub-investment grade or “junk status”. And the COVID-19 crisis and current lockdown mean that even before factoring in the impact of Moody’s decision, the economic outlook for SA in...

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SA economy effectively standing still since 2008

Looking at GDP from the production side of the economy: At the headline level, the numbers make for worrying reading with the SA economy contracting by 2.2% over the first quarter on an annualised, seasonally adjusted basis, and rising by a modest 0.8% for the year to...

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Prospects for SA’s economic growth in 2018 and beyond

Cyril Ramaphosa’s policies, introduced in the run-up to the ANC election at the end of 2017, targeted 3% growth in gross domestic product (GDP) by as soon as the end of 2018, with the suggestion that successful policy implementation could see annual economic growth...

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